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Nickname:RabbitMountain
Bellefonte, PA
United States
Blog:www.sustainablelocal.net/blog
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RabbitMountain
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  • RabbitMountainBy RabbitMountain 630 Days Ago
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    I`ve been watching this situation with the housing bubble since back before anyone but a few rogue financial pundits were calling it that. I`ve been wondering more recently how it would shake out for small business since credit is so absolutely essential for so many things. The other day I found this article which has some pretty discouraging statistics.

    I`m curious to know what others are thinking about it. Depending who you ask things are looking really dire, but is that really what people are experiencing? I don`t anticipate being affected by this personally much at all, except possibly indirectly, because I`ve been avoiding credit like the plague for about a decade now. What are your thoughts about it?
    RabbitMountain2/17/2008 3:10 AM

  • mlebovitsBy mlebovits 629 Days Ago
    0 points    
    RabbitMountain,
     
    Great topic!  The same article caught my eye and I wrote about it on my blog
     
    If the number of calls I`m receiving is any indication, the credit crunch for small business started last September and dramatically increased in severity by November.  I`m currently working on almost 20 debt deals - a significant increase over last summer when the residential mortgage markets took a dive.
     
    I speak to lenders of all types, sizes and risk profiles on a daily basis - all have told me they have money to lend, but are more carefully looking at the risk in a prospective loan.  The lenders are looking more carefully at projections, cash flow and the quality of collateral being provided in support of a loan request.  Without a clear demonstration of an ability to repay the loan, it will be increasingly difficult to get approved. 
     
    By the way, even though the Prime Rate may be going down, the risk premium being charged by lenders is being increased.  Overall, interest rates may remain steady at best and may even increase.
     
    Marshall Lebovits

  • RabbitMountainBy RabbitMountain 628 Days Ago
    0 points    
    Thanks Marshall, I thought it was a good topic too... apparently no one else does though! Is no one here keeping an eye on these events?

    The lenders you work with, did they lend money out to people to buy houses or something? Or are they losing money on unrelated real estate investments and have to make absolutely certain their other investments perform? I`m trying to understand why they would be tightening standards on small business lending, when AFAIK there hasn`t been any increase in defaulted small business loans.... except possibly ones that were backed by home equity.

    —paula

  • mlebovitsBy mlebovits 628 Days Ago
    0 points    
    Your poll may have received more attention in either the forum for startup financing or growth financing.
     
    As to the reasons for the credit crunch, there are two overall "macro" reasons in my opinion.
    • The losses on residential real estate loans has caused a lot of lenders to cut back their lending activities.  For a typical bank, each dollar of losses results in a reduction of almost ten dollars of loans unless they can raise another dollar of equity.  With over $200 billion of loans losses announced in the last six months, almost $2 trillion of loans can`t be made unless more equity is raised by the banks.  That`s why Merrill Lynch and Citigroup have had to sell equity.
    • As you know, most of the residential real estate loans were packaged and sold by Wall Street to various investors.  When the residential real estate loan secondary market sunk into chaos this past summer, it cast a long, crippling shadow on the secondary markets for commercial real estate loans, leveraged corporate loans, credit card receivables, automobile loan receivables and now the student loan market.   In other words, for many banks there is no place to sell loans.  Without a secondary market in which to sell the loans, many loans are not getting made unless they are high quality loans backed by strong cash flow and collateral.  These high quality loans can be held by a bank on its balance sheet.
    I`m sure others smarter than me will come up with other reasons as to why there is a credit crunch.  The above is just one man`s opinion.
     
    Marshall Lebovits

  • RabbitMountainBy RabbitMountain 628 Days Ago
    0 points    
    Marshall, thanks for your response. That actually clarifies a couple of things.

    But what I`m still not tracking on why it is any riskier for private lenders to finance small business. I understand how banks would have a harder time, but private lenders aren`t operating on a fractional reserve system. Or are they? I assume you work with private individuals to arrange small business debt financing... do these investments get packaged and resold? Or am I making a wrong assumption about your work?

    Thanks,
    —paula

  • RabbitMountainBy RabbitMountain 473 Days Ago
    0 points    
    Hey everyone,

    I have been talking with a woman who heads up the Main Street Program for a small, economically challenged municipality here in my area. One of her obstacles is convincing the merchants that having a web presence and utilizing online strategies like email newsletters is very necessary for attracting customers.

    I am currently looking at drawing up a low-cost, entry-level online marketing package for my colleague to include in her "advertising cooperative" with other area media. It would be EXTREMELY helpful for me to have feedback from other brick-and-mortar businesses, positive or negative, regarding your experiences with online marketing to share with her — and also, so I can put together a package that delivers the most bang for the buck.

    So what do you think? Has online marketing helped your brick-and-mortar business? What`s been the most useful to you, and the least useful? All feedback is most welcome!

Description
Headline:Graphic design, website development & related consulting.
Description:I am a graphic designer by trade. In my mid-30s I went to college and got a degree in science journalism + technical communications; before that I spent my career in various printing & publishing positions, mostly in design, production and litho prepress.

I am putting these skills to work as the founder and and principal of Rabbit Mountain, LLC, a communications design firm. I am also a board member and marketing committee chair of an independent newspaper called Voices of Central Pennsylvania, located in State College, PA. I am quite involved with the "buy local" consumer movement, and localism generally.
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