Back when I read "The Bell Curve," there was a fascinating supplement at the end about statistics. This was (is) a book about IQ, what it means, and how it`s handled in western culture.
In any random selection of people, 1 person will have an IQ over 140. We know that as pretty much for sure. Better, in a randomly selected kindergarten, 1 child will definitely have a high IQ. Again, we can almost take that to the bank.
But we can`t point to which specific kid in that class, or which particular person in the selected crowd, and know with any kind of certainty if they`re "the one."
Statistics are a great tool in their context. But you can`t run your life on statistics. If we could know directly which 20% of customers were going to be our big market, or if we could know which 5% would do most of the creative work, that`d be terrific. It`d be like reading the future.
The thing is, we can usually only know this in retrospect. And as you know, hindsight is always 20-20.
You know Craig... I always enjoy reading your post.
Website Startup Coach: Step-by-Step Coaching to Help You Build a Profitable Business Online!